Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 11, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat
Eldense1 - 0Malaga
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eldense and Malaga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Almeria 5-0 Eldense
Sunday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Granada
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eldense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Malaga |
38.81% ( 0.04) | 26.99% ( 0.5) | 34.2% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
