Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky

Luhansk
2 - 1
Karpaty

Micin (69', 80')
Slesar (40'), Budkivskyi (42'), Dryshliuk (65'), Basic (84'), Miroshnichenko (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Polehenko (20' pen.)
Kostenko (46'), Pedroso (74'), Alvarez Garcia (77'), Micin (84'), Baboglo (84')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Karpaty Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Last Game: Polissya 1-1 Luhansk
Monday, November 25 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Karpaty
Saturday, April 12 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawKarpaty Lviv
33.71% (-0.609 -0.61)27.59% (-0.152 -0.15)38.7% (0.768 0.77)
Both teams to score 48.82% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.12% (0.502 0.5)56.88% (-0.493 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2% (0.4 0.4)77.8% (-0.393 -0.39)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)31.66% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (-0.172 -0.17)68.07% (0.17999999999999 0.18)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.694 0.69)28.56% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (0.859 0.86)64.35% (-0.851 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 33.7%
    Karpaty Lviv 38.7%
    Draw 27.59%
Zorya LuhanskDrawKarpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.7%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.123 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.7%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 16
Luhansk
2-0
Karpaty
Vernydub (54'), Rusyn (87')
Ivanisenya (58'), Lednev (63'), Abu Hanna (66')

Martins (56'), Deda (59')
Aug 25, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Karpaty
0-1
Luhansk

Di Franco (67'), Ponde (67')
Budkivskyi (58')
Kamenyuka (52'), Ivanisenia (67'), Khomchenovskiy (79'), Bily (85'), Budkivskyi (89')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 15
Luhansk
2-1
Karpaty
Khomchenovskiy (16'), Gordienko (71')
Araujo Da Silva (66'), Kharatin (91'), Tymchyk (93')
Shved (34')
Ponde (50'), Miroshnichenko (68'), Carrascal (76')
Aug 12, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 4
Karpaty
0-1
Luhansk

Lebedenko (81'), Mendez (95')
Kharatin (77')
Svatok (25'), Mykhaylychenko (75'), Khomchenovsky (95')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev302010061194270
2FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya30207346222467
3Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar30188469264362
4Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya301212638281048
5Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi3013893426847
6Karpaty LvivKarpaty30137104236646
7Zorya LuhanskLuhansk30124143439-540
8Rukh Lviv30911103027338
9Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka30812102725236
10Veres3099123344-1136
11Obolon KyivObolon3088141943-2432
12LNZ CherkasyCherkasy30710132537-1231
13Vorskla PoltavaVorskla3069152438-1427
14Livyi Bereh3075181839-2126
15Inhulets3059162147-2624
16Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets3065192045-2523
> Ukrainian Premier League Full Table


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