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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Freiburg logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Freiburg


Malatini (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (75')
Eggestein (36'), Osterhage (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Freiburg

Given the hosts have struggled to create many big chances this season, they could struggle to produce many opportunities once more on Saturday. However, Freiburg were poor in the final third last time out, and it would therefore not be a surprise if their clash against Werder Bremen was ultimately low scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
33.58% (-0.442 -0.44) 25.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 40.61% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)49.7% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.035 -0.04)71.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (-0.294 -0.29)28.17% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (-0.376 -0.38)63.86% (0.379 0.38)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.21899999999999 0.22)24.19% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.308 0.31)58.52% (-0.305 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.58%
    Freiburg 40.61%
    Draw 25.8%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.58%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.077 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.61%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
42.6%
Draw
29.8%
Freiburg
27.7%
47
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Werder Bremen
3-1
Freiburg
Ducksch (9' pen.), Njinmah (53'), Malatini (90+3')
Stark (50'), Lynen (89')
Grifo (28' pen.)
Streich (89'), Gregoritsch (90')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-0
Werder Bremen
Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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