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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Bristol City

Blackburn
3 - 0
Bristol City

Travis (17'), Ohashi (55', 70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McNally (11'), Sykes (44'), Mehmeti (74'), Roberts (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Bristol City

With Bristol City extra motivated to bounce back from their heavy defeat to Derby, we expect them to run Blackburn close on Saturday. However, the home side have only impressed this campaign and that could continue at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
40.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)52.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)74.29% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)29.89% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.35%
    Bristol City 33.15%
    Draw 26.48%
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.15%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers
64.3%
Draw
17.9%
Bristol City
17.9%
56
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol City
5-0
Blackburn
Conway (24', 32' pen.), Mehmeti (73'), Wells (78' pen., 90+6')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Blackburn
2-1
Bristol City
Sigurdsson (35'), Wharton (52')
Carter (22'), Brittain (85'), Szmodics (88'), Travis (89')
Sykes (60')
Knight (51')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Blackburn
2-3
Bristol City
Dolan (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+3')
Wharton (7'), Pickering (67')
Conway (42'), Wells (55', 73')
James (57'), Scott (58')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Blackburn
0-1
Bristol City

Khadra (49')
Weimann (90+2')
Scott (26'), Bentley (87'), Weimann (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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