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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 9, 2025 at 12pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Swansea logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Swansea

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-0 Swansea City

It has been a rough start to 2025 for Swansea, who have lost all but one of their seven matches across all competitions. While the Swans will be looking to stop the rot, they are in for a tough 90 minutes at Ashton Gate, where Bristol City have picked up 16 points from a possible 18 in the league. That said, we predict that the Robins will maintain their impressive run of results in front of their home supporters and come away with the desired results this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
52.12% (0.263 0.26) 25.72% (0.222 0.22) 22.16% (-0.484 -0.48)
Both teams to score 46.67% (-1.183 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-1.261 -1.26)55.94% (1.26 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-1.036 -1.04)77.04% (1.034 1.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.405 -0.41)21.52% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.623 -0.62)54.57% (0.622 0.62)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-1.191 -1.19)40.53% (1.191 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-1.094 -1.09)77.13% (1.094 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 52.11%
    Swansea City 22.16%
    Draw 25.72%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.415 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.16%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
89.3%
Draw
7.1%
Swansea City
3.6%
56
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swansea
1-1
Bristol City
Cabango (15')
Naughton (49')
Knight (76')
Mehmeti (55'), Sykes (90+2'), Wells (90+5')
Mar 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 37
Bristol City
1-0
Swansea
Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')

Tymon (63')
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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