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Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Leo Lagrange
Montpellier

Feignies-Aulnoye
0 - 4
Montpellier


Bridoux (18'), Hospital (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omeragic (58'), Adams (73', 90+2'), Delaye (90')
Nordin (62'), Gueguin (65'), Sainte-Luce (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Feignies-Aulnoye and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 1-0 Quevilly
Friday, January 5 at 5pm in Coupe de France
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We said: Feignies-Aulnoye 0-2 Montpellier HSC

This set of players are already history makers, as this is the further Feignies have ever got in the Coupe, as their previous best was a round of 64 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain in 2021, but another defeat against top-tier opposition looks likely. With Der Zakarian's job coming under more scrutiny, he must ensure his side seals a safe passage into the last 16 here, otherwise the board may be forced into a decision. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 71.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Feignies-Aulnoye had a probability of 10.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-2 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Feignies-Aulnoye win it was 1-0 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Feignies-AulnoyeDrawMontpellier HSC
10.91% (0.658 0.66) 17.1% (0.647 0.65) 71.99% (-1.307 -1.31)
Both teams to score 49.24% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.35% (-1.116 -1.12)39.64% (1.115 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38% (-1.17 -1.17)61.99% (1.17 1.17)
Feignies-Aulnoye Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.53% (0.49400000000001 0.49)45.47% (-0.495 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.69% (0.386 0.39)81.31% (-0.386 -0.39)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.3% (-0.595 -0.59)9.69% (0.5941 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.69% (-1.404 -1.4)32.31% (1.403 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Feignies-Aulnoye 10.91%
    Montpellier HSC 71.98%
    Draw 17.1%
Feignies-AulnoyeDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 3.47% (0.222 0.22)
2-1 @ 3.19% (0.165 0.17)
2-0 @ 1.37% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 0.98% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 10.91%
1-1 @ 8.11% (0.314 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.1%
0-2 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.28% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 9.34% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-3 @ 7.36% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-4 @ 5.45% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-4 @ 4.29% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-5 @ 2.54% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-5 @ 2% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-6 @ 0.99% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 71.98%

How you voted: Feignies-Aulnoye vs Montpellier

Feignies-Aulnoye
9.1%
Draw
13.6%
Montpellier HSC
77.3%
22
rhs 2.0
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