Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

Lithuania
2 - 2
Hungary

Cernych (20'), Sirvys (36')
Lekiatas (42'), Utkus (55'), Kazukolovas (70'), Lasickas (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Szoboszlai (67' pen.), Varga (82')
Szoboszlai (55'), Fiola (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship qualifying clash between Lithuania and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Bulgaria 0-2 Lithuania
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Hungary

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Serbia
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	5	7	13
2	Serbia	6	4	10
3	Montenegro	5	0	8
4	Lithuania	6	-4	5
5	Bulgaria	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 12.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.71%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Hungary
12.24% ( -0.11)	20.63% ( -0.37)	67.12% ( 0.47)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Lithuania	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 12.24%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.64%	0-1 @ 14.18% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 13.71% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 8.83% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.13% Total : 67.12%