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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Austin FC

Cincinnati
2 - 1
Austin

Evander (12'), Valenzuela (76')
Denkey (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vazquez (48' pen.)
Sabovic (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between FC Cincinnati and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Austin FC

Saturday's game promises to be an exciting one with both teams having plenty of optimism from their starts to the season, and we give a narrow edge to FC Cincinnati to make it six wins from seven games with home advantage on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAustin FC
60.37% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 21.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 17.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.023000000000003 0.02)46.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)68.42% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (0.035999999999994 0.04)43.14% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)39.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)76.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 60.36%
    Austin FC 17.77%
    Draw 21.85%
FC CincinnatiDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 60.36%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.85%
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.77%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Austin

FC Cincinnati
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Austin FC
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Austin
5-0
Cincinnati
Dominguez (2', 61'), Ring (14'), Driussi (43'), Kann (90+3' og.)
Keller (33'), Valencia (74')

Cruz (12'), Kubo (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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