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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Leeds logo

Blackburn
0 - 2
Leeds


Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Leeds United

This has the makings of an intriguing contest with Blackburn seemingly capable of beating and losing to every team in this division. Nevertheless, we feel that Leed's superior quality should just win out, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
38.76% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 23.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 37.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.022999999999996 0.02)40% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.36% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)20.84% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.032999999999994 0.03)53.53% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 38.76%
    Leeds United 37.42%
    Draw 23.82%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.42%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Leeds

Blackburn Rovers
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Leeds United
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Leeds
3-2
Blackburn
Williams (33' og.), Roofe (91', 94')
Douglas (77'), Phillips (89')
Mulgrew (47' pen., 90')
Rodwell (44'), Lenihan (85')
Oct 20, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 13
Blackburn
2-1
Leeds
Graham (2'), Lenihan (70')
Smallwood (47'), Evans (86'), Rodwell (87')
Klich (45')
Roofe (68'), Klich (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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