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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Blackburn logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Blackburn

Brannagan (67')
Helik (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gueye (33'), Cantwell (53'), Brittain (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Blackburn Rovers

Rovers are getting back into form after their blip around the Christmas period, so we expect them to pick up three points here against Oxford. It should be a tight encounter between the two clubs, but the visitors have a strong defence and we think they can grab a goal to seal another important win for Eustace's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
35.55% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.36% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 37.09% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.75% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (0.11 0.11)55.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.09 0.09)76.94% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.024999999999991 0.02)29.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)66.04% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.102 0.1)28.99% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.124 0.12)64.88% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 35.54%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.09%
    Draw 27.36%
Oxford UnitedDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.09%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Blackburn

Oxford United
25.0%
Draw
30.0%
Blackburn Rovers
45.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Blackburn
2-1
Oxford Utd
Rankin-Costello (45+2'), Sigurdsson (83')
Tronstad (37'), Travis (77')
Harris (44')
Kioso (57')
May 5, 2018 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Blackburn
Payne (45'), Obika (85')
Mulgrew (6', 22'), Antonsson (17'), Nuttall (71')
Mulgrew (74'), Downing (82')
Jan 30, 2016 3pm
Fourth Round
Oxford Utd
0-3
Blackburn

Mullins (5'), Baldock (64'), Kenny (92')
Marshall (36' pen., 76'), Watt (45')
Spurr (39'), Jackson (50'), Lenihan (54'), Conway (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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