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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Oxford United

Swansea
3 - 3
Oxford Utd

Eom (23'), Pereira Martins (57'), Cullen (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leigh (40'), Helik (62'), Placheta (90+3')
Matos (48'), Brannagan (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Sunderland
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Oxford United

With 14th position up for grabs, Oxford will be motivated to cap off an excellent campaign. However, with Sheehan motivated to go into next season on a high note, we are backing the home side to do enough to secure the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.57%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawOxford United
66.58% (-0.328 -0.33) 20.85% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 12.57% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 42.46% (0.588 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33% (0.361 0.36)51.67% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (0.312 0.31)73.45% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (0.012999999999991 0.01)14.68% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)42.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.77% (0.681 0.68)50.23% (-0.682 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.18% (0.465 0.47)84.82% (-0.46600000000001 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 66.58%
    Oxford United 12.57%
    Draw 20.85%
Swansea CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 14.15% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 13.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 8.68% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 66.58%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.057 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.22% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.85%
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.35% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.75% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 12.57%

How you voted: Swansea vs Oxford Utd

Swansea City
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Oxford United
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Oxford Utd
1-2
Swansea
Scarlett (88')
Sibley (32')
Vipotnik (38'), Bianchini (80')
Tymon (84')
Jul 21, 2023 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
1-0
Swansea
Browne (6')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Swansea
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties)
Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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