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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
0 - 0
Stoke

FT

Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Stoke City

Backing up a six-goal showing in midweek is likely to be difficult for Stoke, particularly with Pelach still attempting to prove himself. Nevertheless, the superior firepower of the visitors could see them edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
47.73% (0.102 0.1) 24.92% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 27.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (0.17 0.17)48.63% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (0.155 0.16)70.75% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (0.11099999999999 0.11)20.41% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (0.179 0.18)52.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)31.95% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (0.055 0.05)68.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 47.73%
    Stoke City 27.35%
    Draw 24.91%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
45.1%
Draw
21.6%
Stoke City
33.3%
51
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Swansea
3-0
Stoke
Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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