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Lyon
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lille

Lyon
2 - 1
Lille

Orban (40'), Cherki (47')
Tagliafico (67'), Caleta-Car (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 4-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-2 Lille

Lyon have managed to put together some good performances and results under the new manager, but Lille have been better this season. We are backing the Mastiffs to record a slim victory here and progress to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawLille
30.4% (-0.254 -0.25) 24.66% (-0.164 -0.16) 44.94% (0.419 0.42)
Both teams to score 57.03% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.21% (0.615 0.62)45.79% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.9% (0.581 0.58)68.1% (-0.581 -0.58)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.13799999999999 0.14)28.3% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.174 0.17)64.02% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.43899999999999 0.44)20.46% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (0.693 0.69)52.92% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 30.4%
    Lille 44.94%
    Draw 24.66%
LyonDrawLille
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.31% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 30.4%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.044 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.06 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 44.94%

How you voted: Lyon vs Lille

Lyon
34.3%
Draw
15.7%
Lille
50.0%
70
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Lyon
0-2
Lille

Balde (66'), Akouokou (72')
David (27'), Santos (32')
Gudmundsson (13'), Santos (32')
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Lille
3-3
Lyon
David (46', 61' pen., 79' pen.)
Barcola (64'), Lacazette (83', 89')
Feb 8, 2023 5.15pm
Round of 16
Lyon
2-2
Lille
Lyon win 4-2 on penalties
Cherki (8'), Lacazette (21')
David (29' pen.), Zhegrova (64')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Lyon
1-0
Lille
Lacazette (74')
Feb 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Lyon
0-1
Lille

Dembele (19'), Caqueret (43'), Aouar (90+1')
Gudmundsson (35')
David (81'), Xeka (83')
rhs 2.0
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