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Port Vale
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Barnsley

Port Vale
1 - 3
Barnsley

Curtis (31')
Cover (16'), Debrah (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roberts (17'), Keillor-Dunn (64'), Phillips (83' pen.)
Connell (42'), O'Keeffe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Port Vale 2-2 Barnsley

Barnsley may be competing in the league above Port Vale, but we think they could experience a tough outing at Vale Park on Saturday. Having gone 11 games without defeat, we believe the hosts will hold the Tykes to a draw to take the tie to extra time where the benefit of their home support could help them get over the line against their League One opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBarnsley
43.23% (0.0049999999999955 0) 25.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (0.0049999999999955 0)47.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)21.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)55.14% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01%63.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.23%
    Barnsley 31.63%
    Draw 25.13%
Port ValeDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.63%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Barnsley

Port Vale
44.0%
Draw
20.0%
Barnsley
36.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Port Vale
2-3
Barnsley
Chislett (72'), Shorrock (90+3')
Lowe (75'), Garrity (78'), Debrah (90+9')
Phillips (17'), McAtee (32', 37')
Connell (13')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Barnsley
7-0
Port Vale
Cole (23', 47', 53'), Jones (45' og.), Kitching (60'), Russell (64'), Dallas (90+6')
Styles (18'), Kane (25'), Watters (25'), Russell (72'), Roberts (89'), Shepherd (90+1')

Ojo (39'), Cass (63')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Port Vale
1-3
Barnsley
Smith (14')
Connell (1'), Kitching (21'), Phillips (61')
Nov 23, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Port Vale
2-1
Barnsley
Politic (14'), Worrall (27')
Edwards (73')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal361814466333368
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle362061068452366
4Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
5Chelsea36189962431963
6Aston Villa3618995649763
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest361881056441262
8Brentford361671363531055
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Bournemouth3614111155431253
11Fulham36149135150151
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton36915123944-542
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham361010164259-1740
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd36109174253-1139
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs36115206359438
RIpswich TownIpswich36410223577-4222
RLeicester CityLeicester3657243178-4722
RSouthampton3626282582-5712


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