Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 13, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Arena Lublin
Motor Lublin1 - 2Lech Poznan
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Lech Poznan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Motor Lublin
Saturday, April 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, April 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, April 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, April 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
50
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lech Poznan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Lech Poznan |
31.97% ( -0.19) | 24.64% ( 0.21) | 43.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
