Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 11, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino1 - 1Juventus
We said: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Derby dominators Juventus can keep another clean sheet against Torino's ailing attack, so it could be a matter of making the breakthrough and then sitting tight to collect maximum points. Even if they fail to find the net during the first hour or so, Juve can rely on a psychological edge: in 10 of their last 13 league games against the Granata, they have scored at least one goal from the 70th minute onwards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Juventus |
20.88% ( -0.01) | 26.9% ( -0.02) | 52.22% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.12% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
