Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.