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PSG logo
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 19, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Brest logo

PSG
7 - 0
Brest

Barcola (20'), Kvaratskhelia (39'), Vitinha (59'), Doue (64'), Mendes (69'), Ramos (76'), Mayulu (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Haidara (67'), Le Cardinal (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 0-1 PSG
Saturday, February 15 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-2 Auxerre
Friday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Brest

The first-leg scoreline has already killed this tie off, but Enrique will not be taking any chances with squad selection, based on his rotation at the weekend, so PSG will be determined to get the job done as soon as possible here. For Brest, last week's result was a real blow to their confidence, and knowing no club has ever turned a tie around after a three-goal home defeat suggests their focus may already be on Strasbourg, with a respectable display all that is expected of them in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
64.94% (0.254 0.25) 19.36% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08) 15.69% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.65% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81% (0.067999999999998 0.07)11.18% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.31% (0.158 0.16)35.69% (-0.163 -0.16)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.212 -0.21)37.6% (0.20699999999999 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (-0.206 -0.21)74.38% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.94%
    Brest 15.69%
    Draw 19.36%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.04% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 64.94%
1-1 @ 9.01% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.36%
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 15.69%

How you voted: PSG vs Brest

Paris Saint-Germain
84.1%
Draw
12.7%
Brest
3.2%
126
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Brest
0-3
PSG

Chardonnet (74')
Vitinha (21' pen.), Dembele (45', 66')
Barcola (70')
Feb 1, 2025 4pm
Gameweek 20
Brest
2-5
PSG
Del Castillo (50'), Ajorque (71')
Sima (36')
Dembele (29', 57', 62'), Ramos (89', 90+7')
Sep 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
PSG
3-1
Brest
Dembele (42', 74'), Ruiz (73')
Beraldo (26'), Mendes (28')
Del Castillo (29' pen.)
Camara (39'), Ajorque (49'), Chardonnet (59')
Feb 7, 2024 8.10pm
Round of 16
PSG
3-1
Brest
Mbappe (34'), Pereira (37'), Ramos (90+2')
Mounie (65')
Magnetti (14'), Brassier (60')
Brassier (69')
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
PSG
2-2
Brest
Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')
rhs 2.0
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